States in the medium to long term

All this said, the KN 08, if it becomes operational, is still likely to pose a problem for the United States in the medium to long term. But for now, North Korea is not in a position to wage a war with the United States or South Korea, and will instead have to rely on asymmetric “provocations.” What could these involve? Most likely, activities such as last week cyber attack on South Korean media and banks. Or, if Kim needs more bang for his buck, then another shelling of South Korea Yellow Sea islands or even a naval skirmish.

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